Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 2:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green comes in at the 95th percentile for shots while on his home court, registering 18.0 per game this year.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 54.7% on field goal attempts (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jalen Green has made 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 7.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

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