Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has tallied 27.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 8.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
Jalen Green has successfully made 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Jalen Green has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled the least threes per game in the league this year (0.8).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-least in the league).
Jalen Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production across the board.

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