Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has attempted 8.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.7 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a good one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.0).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Rockets.

Favors Under

The Rockets check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Indiana Pacers have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance across the board.

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