Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green registers in the 83rd percentile for shots, logging 14.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Green rates in the 87th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 5.8 per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green has attempted 4.7 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 1.5 three-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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