Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has tallied 31.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.
When it comes to shooting, the Houston Rockets's exceptional 47.9% field goal percentage on their home court comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has attempted a measly 14.9 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 17.9 mark last season.
In contrast to last year's 7.3 clip, Jalen Green's shot attempts from downtown have declined this year to 6.1 per game.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

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