Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.6 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Jalen Green has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has totaled a lowly 18.2 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 22.1 points per game last year.
Jalen Green has attempted just 5.1 3-pointers per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 7.3 rate last season.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 13th-least treys per game in the league this year (1.5).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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