Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has posted 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 14.0 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home.
Jalen Green has attempted 12.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Jalen Green has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for field goals; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 13th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Houston Rockets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).