Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 3:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has totaled 3.0 assists per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has grabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (retaining possessions that can create extra chances for offense).
Jalen Green will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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