Jalen Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Green places in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.6 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has posted a mere 2.9 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.7 assists per game last season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).
Jalen Green ought to see a decline in performance for all stats due to playing away from hom in this matchup.

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