Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has averaged an impressive 8.5 defensive boards per game this season, a significant increase from his 5.5 defensive boards per game last season.
In comparison to last season's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has increased this season to 30.0 minutes per game.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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