Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has compiled a terrific 11.4 rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.9 rebounds per game last season.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 4thbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).
Jalen Duren will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Pistons.

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