Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has averaged 3.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 7 games while on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to increase plays for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 13thbest in in the league while on their home court with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).
Away from their home court, the Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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