Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has tallied 3.5 offensive boards per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
Jalen Duren should see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from hom in this contest.

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