Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has posted 3.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Pistons.
While at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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