Jalen Duren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has averaged 3.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (90th percentile).
While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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