Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 5:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 63.2% clip, Jalen Duren's field goal performance has risen this season to 69.6%.
The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a good one for field goals; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 60.3% of their shots from the field (94th percentile).
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren rates in the 4th percentile for three-point ability with an unimpressive 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game (6th percentile).

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