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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2025

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last season's 63.2% clip, Jalen Duren's field goal performance has risen this season to 69.6%.
  • The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a good one for field goals; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 60.3% of their shots from the field (94th percentile).
  • The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Detroit Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Duren has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren rates in the 4th percentile for three-point ability with an unimpressive 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league at home this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
  • The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game (6th percentile).

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