Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 24, 2025

Updated Apr 24, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk a whopping 69.6% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 63.2 rate last year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren places in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
In terms of treys, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 12.5 successful threes per game with the home court advantage rates 5th-fewest in the league this year.
The rate of shots from downtown scored against Karl-Anthony Towns has been remarkably low (23.4%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (6th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
Jalen Duren has converted a measly 68.9% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly lower than his 76.4 rate last season.

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