Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made a terrific 69.6% of his field goal attempts this year, a big improvement over his 63.2 rate last year.
While playing on the road and squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez slots into the 97th percentile with an enormous 11.6 shots from the field against him per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 4.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren ranks in the 4th percentile for 3-point prowess with a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Jalen Duren has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Pistons have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Brook Lopez has been very low this year (2.4 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 17th percentile).

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