Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has converted an impressive 69.2% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 63.2 rate last year.
The 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 4.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Jalen Duren ought to get a boost in output in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has successfully made 0.0% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year as it relates to treys.
The rate of 3-pointers made against Karl-Anthony Towns has been quite low (23.4%) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Pistons will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-slowest tempo away team in the league this year (the Knicks).

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