Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 7, 2025

Updated Apr 8, 2025 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has notched 15.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's notched over the course of the season.
Jalen Duren has successfully made an impressive 69.5% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 63.2 rate last year.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Pistons's poor 12.4 sunk threes per game while playing at home settles in as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
The number of baskets scored against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (5.2 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings).

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