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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Duren has sunk 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
  • The number of shots from downtown attempted against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (3.4 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.
  • The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
  • The Pistons rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren comes in at the 4th percentile for 3-point ability with a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 3.3 fouls per game this year.
  • When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
  • The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the free-throw line rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 2.9 foul shots per game this year.
  • Jalen Duren figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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