Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (3.4 per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren comes in at the 4th percentile for 3-point ability with a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 3.3 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the free-throw line rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 2.9 foul shots per game this year.
Jalen Duren figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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