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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has made an impressive 70.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 63.2 rate last year.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 10th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 11.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Jalen Duren is expected to get a boost in productivity across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

When it comes to treys, the Pistons's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game while on their home court measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

The showdown with Jarrett Allen measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs nailing only 48.0% of their field goal attempts this year when they are playing at home.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

Relative to last season's 76.4% clip, Jalen Duren's free-throw performance has regressed this season to 68.5%.

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