Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 26, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has totaled 16.2 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 3.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season at home.
Compared to last season's 63.2% clip, Jalen Duren's shooting ability has risen this season to 70.1%.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to boost possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7th-best in in the NBA playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Pistons's lackluster 35.0% rate of successful threes while on their home court places 8th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The number of treys attempted against Bismack Biyombo has been very low (1.2 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

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