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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Duren has successfully made 5.6 baskets per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing on the road.
  • The clash with Kai Jones comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs making a colossal 74.4% of their field goals since the start of last season when they are away from home.
  • The quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Jalen Duren has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).
  • As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 20.8 free throws per game while on the road comes in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. Kai Jones is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Jones is at home and facing other starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game (7th percentile).
  • Jalen Duren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

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