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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has converted 74.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing away from home.

The Detroit Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The rate of shots from downtown hit against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (43.1%) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.

Jalen Duren has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jalen Duren has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Detroit Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 8thworst in in the league when playing away from home with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game (21st percentile).

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