Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 73.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.2% higher than he's made overall this year when playing away from home.
The rate of shots converted against Yves Missi has been remarkably high (63.4%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren registers in the 4th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on the road, totaling 0.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.2 fouls per game this year.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been bad at getting to the free-throw line away from their home court: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 20.7 free throw attempts per game.
Jalen Duren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.

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