Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 5.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home.
The Pistons have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 threes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The matchup against Ivica Zubac is a difficult one; he has allowed a mere 11.5 points per game when playing at home when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 19.9 free throws per game.

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