Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made 69.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
The rate of shots from downtown made against Nic Claxton has been quite high (41.4%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Jalen Duren has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has successfully made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
As a team, the Pistons have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 8th-worst in the NBA this year with just 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.

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