Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has successfully made 6.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's sunk in all games this season.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the league when playing at home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Jalen Duren has sunk 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this year while at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to treys.
The matchup with Nikola Jokic registers in the 10th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying just 16.2% of their three-point attempts this year when they have the home court advantage.
The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when Jokic is on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game (7th percentile).

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