Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made 71.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.1% higher than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home.
The matchup against Onyeka Okongwu is a good one; he has given up a whopping 17.0 points per game on his home court when defending fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 19.4 foul shots per game as the road team places 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
Jalen Duren will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance across the board.

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