Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has successfully made 70.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on the road.
The matchup against Bismack Biyombo is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when Biyombo is at home and squaring off against other starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted an enormous 3.3 three-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 5th-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile).
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 19.3 free throws per game while playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
Jalen Duren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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