Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 11, 2025

Updated Feb 12, 2025 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 6.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Nikola Vucevic is a good one for three-point attempts; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.0 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile).
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 7th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 19.0 foul shots per game when playing on the road rates worst in the league this year.
Jalen Duren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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