Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 7, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2025 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while at home.
Jalen Duren ought to see a rise in productivity across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup with Joel Embiid rates in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs registering a mere 10.5 points per game this year.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Pistons's subpar 20.5 free throw attempts per game places 5th-worst in the league this year.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Joel Embiid has been quite low this year (1.8 foul shot attempts per game: 3rd percentile).

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