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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has successfully made 6.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made in all games this season.

The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when Gafford is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.6 free throws per game (86th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.

The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Gafford is on the visiting team and guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.4 3-pointers per game (10th percentile).

Relative to last season's 76.4% clip, Jalen Duren's free-throw prowess has dropped this season to 66.6%.

More Jalen Duren Player Props

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