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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has sunk 5.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

The rate of shots converted against Nic Claxton has been remarkably high (68.6%) when he is on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 10th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The faceoff with Nic Claxton as it relates to getting to the charity stripe ranks in just the 77th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.8 free throws per game this year when they are playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

Relative to last year's 76.4% mark, Jalen Duren's foul-shot performance has fallen this year to 62.5%.

As a team, the Pistons have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line as the visting team: 4th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 19.2 free throws per game.

Jalen Duren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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