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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has made 69.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

The 7th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 8th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Jalen Duren has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 33.8% more than he's converted in all games this season at home.

Jalen Duren ought to see a spike in performance across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The faceoff with Rudy Gobert places in the 10th percentile with the other side's starting Cs scoring just 25.8% of their 3-point attempts this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.

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