Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 5.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
When defending opposing starting Cs, Mark Williams places in the 100th percentile with a massive 3.9 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Duren has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 33.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Hornets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons.

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