Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made 68.9% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Goga Bitadze has been very high (3.9 free throws per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).
Jalen Duren figures to get a boost in production for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
With respect to offense, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 111.2 points per game while at home settles in as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The rate of field goals converted against Goga Bitadze has been very low (46.5%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Pistons.
In comparison to last year's 76.4% mark, Jalen Duren's foul-shot proficiency has regressed this year to 63.0%.

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