Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The faceoff with Nikola Jokic measures in the 97th percentile with the other team's starting Cs draining a whopping 57.3% of their 3-pointers this year when they are on the visiting team.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high this year (4.4 free throw attempts per game when they are on the away squad: 100th percentile).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has successfully made 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 treys per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren ought to experience a decrease in productivity for all stats in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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