Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 1:40 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The matchup against Jusuf Nurkic is a positive one; he has given up a monstrous 17.3 points per game when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been very high (4.3 foul shot attempts per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has sunk 0.0% of his treys since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Duren has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pistons.
The Pistons rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 76.4% mark, Jalen Duren's foul-shot proficiency has decreased this season to 61.4%.

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