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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren ranks in the 98th percentile for shooting ability with a superb 67.5% rate this year.

When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Walker Kessler ranks in the 100th percentile with a colossal 3.5 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

The Pistons will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Jazz).

Jalen Duren ought to get a boost in performance for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pistons grade out 7thworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Compared to last season's 76.4% rate, Jalen Duren's free-throw efficiency has been reduced this season to 61.4%.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Walker Kessler has been remarkably low this year (2.2 foul shots per game: 7th percentile).

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