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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has sunk 68.0% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The rate of shots from downtown hit against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (52.2%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

The 10th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Jalen Duren will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Duren has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

With respect to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's poor 109.2 points per game on their home court rates 6th-fewest in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

Jalen Duren has converted a lowly 59.4% of his free throws this year, a sizeable decrease from his 76.4 mark last year.

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been quite low this year (2.3 foul shot attempts per game: 12th percentile).

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