Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 71.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The number of points averaged against Jakob Poeltl has been very high (18.3 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Jakob Poeltl has been very high (5.1 free throws per game) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Jalen Duren figures to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
In comparison to last year's 76.4% clip, Jalen Duren's free-throw performance has decreased this year to 54.2%.

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