Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren comes in at the 94th percentile for shooting effectiveness without the home court advantage with a stellar 65.3% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Alexandre Sarr is a favorable one for field goals; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 7.2 buckets per game (96th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Wizards).
The Pistons rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has made 0.0% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Duren has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).
With respect to shooting, the Pistons's subpar 105.1 points per game while playing away from home rates 6th-lowest in the league this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
Jalen Duren figures to see a decline in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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