Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk an impressive 5.8 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.9 mark last year.
Jalen Duren has tallied a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 25.0 minutes per game last year.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 10th-best in in the NBA playing at home with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren measures in the 5th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a poor 0.0% rate this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The rate of shots made against Jaren Jackson Jr. has been remarkably low (52.3%) when he is on the road and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (14th percentile).

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