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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-152/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 3.9 mark, Jalen Duren's field goals scored have increased this season to 5.9 per game.

Jalen Duren has been on the court for a whopping 29.7 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 25.0 minutes per game last year.

The fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Duren has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren lands in the 5th percentile for 3-point performance with a feeble 0.0% rate this year.

The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a challenging one; he has allowed a measly 11.8 points per game away from his home court when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Adebayo is away from his home court and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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