Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has converted a terrific 5.9 buckets per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.9 rate last year.
Jalen Duren has averaged a terrific 29.8 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 25.0 minutes per game last season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Raptors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc converted against Kelly Olynyk has been very low (0.5 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (20th percentile).

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