Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made a terrific 5.9 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.9 rate last season.
In comparison to last year's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has spiked this year to 30.1 minutes per game.
The number of points averaged against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (16.3 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pistons grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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