Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 3.9 mark, Jalen Duren's field goals converted have spiked this year to 6.0 per game.
In comparison to last season's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has increased this season to 30.0 minutes per game.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
The number of points registered against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low (12.2 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been quite low this year (2.7 foul shots per game: 14th percentile).

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