Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has successfully made an impressive 6.2 buckets per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.9 mark last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.2 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Jusuf Nurkic is a good one for three-point shots; when Nurkic is at home other starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 40.9% of their 3-point attempts (96th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pistons.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
When it comes to offense, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 113.1 points per game ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has brought down 12.1 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns (lengthening possessions that can create additional chances for offense).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been very low this year (2.7 foul shot attempts per game: 17th percentile).
Jalen Duren should suffer a reduction in production for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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